True Rent vs Buy

US homes · opportunity cost · PMI · sale costs · wealth over time

Calculating…

Buy net worth
Rent net worth
Break-even
Horizon
Decision

Buy

Purchase, loan & true ownership costs

Down payment

Closing costs

Selling costs

PMI is charged only while LTV > 80% and down payment < 20% (typical US convention). Toggle % / $ — last-touched unit wins; the other is derived.

Rent

Lease cost path over the horizon

Shared assumptions

What makes this a true comparison

Off: nominal future dollars. On: wealth & cash charts deflated at your inflation rate (winner unchanged).

Liquid assets optional Cash / stocks / bonds for down payment & opportunity cost

Off: classic model — down + closing is the shared starting wealth invested at your single invest-return rate. Turn on for a realistic example funding mix.

Net worth over time

Buy = equity after sale costs + liquid portfolio · Rent = invested capital + deposit

Buy (if sold) Rent (portfolio)

Annual housing cash outlay

True net cash leaving your pocket each year (buy includes tax shield if enabled)

Buy cash Rent cash

What ownership really costs

Cumulative through the horizon — not just the mortgage payment

Sensitivity

How the advantage moves when assumptions flex

Parameter Low Base adv. High

Year-by-year true ledger

Wealth, cash, equity, and rent path

Year Home value Loan bal. Buy NW (sold) Rent NW Advantage Buy cash/yr Rent cash/yr

How this is a true rent vs buy

  • Same starting wealth. Down payment + closing costs buy the house for the owner, or seed the renter’s investment portfolio.
  • True ownership cost. P&I, property tax (on rising value), insurance, HOA, maintenance, and PMI until LTV ≤ 80% — not just the mortgage payment.
  • Opportunity cost every month. Whoever spends less on housing invests the difference at your assumed market return.
  • Terminal reality. Owner sells at the horizon with selling costs; equity is not free cash until then.
  • Optional tax shield. Rough deduction on interest + property tax at your marginal rate (not full US tax software).
  • % or $ inputs. Down payment, closing, and selling costs can be entered either way; the other unit is derived.
  • Liquid asset buckets. Optionally fund the purchase from cash/stocks/bonds with different returns and keep the rest invested.
  • Already own mode. Compare keeping the house vs selling today, paying gains tax (if set), and renting with proceeds invested.
  • Today’s dollars. Optional inflation deflator so long-horizon wealth is easier to interpret (winner unchanged).

Educational model for the US market. Not financial, tax, or lending advice. Markets, taxes, and personal situations vary.